Monday, January 18, 2010

Is Coakley in a freefall?

Poll after poll released today all point to a Brown victory. No one has Coakley ahead of Brown. The Insider Advantage poll just released gives Brown a 9-point lead over Coakley.

From Politico:
According to the survey conducted Sunday evening, Brown leads the Democratic attorney general 52 percent to 43 percent.
"I actually think the bottom is falling out," said InsiderAdvantage CEO Matt Towery, referring to Coakley's fall in the polls over the last ten days. "I think that this candidate is in freefall. Clearly this race is imploding for her."
To really put a point on things here is what Politico has noted for the breakdown of the Insider Advantage poll. 

InsiderAdvantage's polling pool was made up of 20 percent Republicans and 43 percent of Democrats, though estimates show that independents make up just over 50 percent of all Massachusetts voters. "It'd be even worse for (Coakley) if we weighed it towards more independents," Towery said.
I am hoping that this all holds true. Brown needs to be ahead by a big number, one or two points makes traditional Democratic vote stealing games possible.

Another sign that the Coakley camp may have already called it a day is this story about no one showing up to do a phone bank for Coakley.

 Meanwhile, across the street at the Massachusetts Teachers Association, the holiday and a bitter winter storm have kept the crowds away from a phone bank for Democratic candidate Martha Coakley. As of 10:20 this morning, not a single volunteer had yet arrived for the 10am phone bank. MTA Webmaster Meg Secatore tells that the severe snow and ice that have covered Massachusetts highways are keeping people from the phones.

Now this is not to say, no one did any calls for Coakley. I read at the Democratic Underground forum how several people participated in virtual phone banks (using cell phones). However, it is interesting to note that the weather kept them away from the physical phone bank. Will the bad weather predicted for tomorrow have the same effect at the polls?  Stay tuned.


TickedMD said...

Coakley's suppporters are going to be less enthusiastic than McCain's were in the general election of 2008.

The Conservative Lady said...

That phone bank video is pitiful.

Chris said...

It will be a party in the streets if Brown wins. What a boost this will be for the conservative movement within both parties.

Just a conservative girl said...

Tomorrow is going to be interesting.

Opus #6 said...

Too much weather. Dems had best stay home.

Republicans and Independents, GET OUT AND VOTE!

Related Posts with Thumbnails