Showing posts with label Elections 2009. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Elections 2009. Show all posts

Thursday, November 5, 2009

Democrats In Denial



After Tuesday’s blistering rebuke of left wing tax and spend policies, it appears the message maybe falling on deaf ears.

As far as the White House is concerned, they are only looking at the win in NY-23 but completely ignoring the two big losses in Virginia and New Jersey.

From Politico
So far, Obama’s White House has responded to the results — flaming defeats for Democratic gubernatorial nominees in Virginia and New Jersey, along with better news in theN.Y. 23 special congressional election — exclusively with self-justification.
Obama himself did not mention the elephant in the room Wednesday in public appearances in Wisconsin. His silence came even though he had immersed himself heavily in the New Jersey race in particular, only to see incumbentGov. Jon Corzine lose a traditionally Democratic state. 
White House senior advisor David Axelrod picked up the spin too:

From Politico
“The CW in town has focused on the governors’ races, but the most portentous event was the New York 23rd because it exposed a major fissure in the Republican Party.”
But what if independents abandon 2010 congressional Democrats the same way they fled Corzine and Virginia Democrat Creigh Deeds?
“If the Earth stops turning, we are all going to die, but that doesn’t mean it’s going to happen,” said Axelrod. Turning more serious, he said he would tell anxious Democratic candidates, “I understand that there might be some nervousness, and that’s understandable, but we are doing the right things. The best move politically is to show more and more success governmentally.”
I think we can safely say that Obama is not going to change plans anytime soon. I cannot imagine him doing so either. Obama is a straight up ideologue and as such he can only talk about being pragmatic rather than actually being pragmatic.

By continuing with his current plan, I do believe he is going to split his own party. Make no mistake, the Blue Dogs must see the writing on the wall. With only a year to go before their heads end up on the chopping block of the 2010 elections. These Blue Dogs must find a way to make themselves appealing to the electorate.  Therefore expect some to unhitch their wagon form the Obama train soon.  Will they bolt on health care?  That is the big question.

Aparantly some Blue Dogs are already acknowledging the true meaning of Election 2009.  Senator Mark Warner from Virginia clearly got the message: 
In contrast to the Obama’s team sanguine analysis, Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) told POLITICO, “We got walloped.” 
Hope springs eternal!

Via: Politico

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Election 2009: The Aftermath



The votes have been cast, the voice of the people now heard, but what does it all mean?  Here is how I see it.

Virginia

Bob McDonnell put the hurtin’ on Creigh Deeds, no if and or buts about that. Many pundits in the media and the GOP leadership will all say that McDonnell’s campaign is the template for 2010 and beyond. I disagree.

What I see in Virginia is simply a Red State putting the Red Light back on. In 2008, Virginia with its large black population, simply wanted to participate in history and elect the first black president of the United States. Fine, been there done that and now they are back to regular business. Any Republican singing a conservative song will continue to strike gold here.

Lesson here: Red States are red again, Blue Dogs beware.

New Jersey

Many will look at this race and wonder if New Jersey is turning purple and they will marvel at the turn around. The real story here should be; why was this race so close? Blue State, schmoo state, Corzine was a God-awful governor with approval ratings in the 30’s. Christie should have been able to put the same kind of hurtin’ on Corzine that McDonnell did on Deeds. 

The problem here is that Christie mainly ran a campaign that could be summed up as: “I’m not Corzine”. What I think it is that carried Christie over the top was corruption. Here in NJ, we make Blagos and Chris Christie has an excellent record of kicking corruption in the butt.

Lesson here: Running as “I am not a Democrat”, simply isn’t going to be enough in 2010. You still have to give the people something to vote for. Christie’s vague “I will cut property taxes” without explaining exactly how was barely enough.

NY-23

This was not the race to lose. It leaves so much unfinished business between the GOP leadership and the conservative base. The GOP leadership will use Hoffman’s lost to first prop up their silly notion that conservatism needs watering down and the media will gladly parrot this theme. Second, the GOP leadership will use this loss to further bash and discredit Sarah Palin and those conservatives like her.

On the conservative side of the coin, conservatives now know they can kill RINOs. Getting the 411 out on RINOs past behavior and sinking them in the polls is a real possibility for the conservative base. No longer do we have to accept whatever the GOP sends down the pike.

I think the key factor to Hoffman’s lost was timing. There simply just wasn’t enough time to get the word out on Scozzafava, have her come out of the closet and then have the party fully converge around Hoffman. Heck, how many mail in and absentee ballots must have been cast for Scozzafava when people still thought she was a Republican? How many Republicans must have still voted for her because they lacked the Internet to keep up with all the latest twists and turns?

Lessons here:

For GOP Leadership, the days of slapping R’s at the end of everyone’s name are over. The base is actively seeking credentials and is fully capable of rejecting anyone who does not measure up. Choose your candidates wisely!

For Conservatives, timing is crucial. If you are hunting RINOs, get them early. You cannot have them crumble at the 11th hour and expect a victory. If you want to sink a RINO like say, Charlie Crist, then you have to start sinking him TODAY.

Obama and the Democrats

The message, whether acknowledged publicly or not, is clear. People are more than just a little concerned about the economy and the debt. Adding to it or ignoring it, is going to be the Democrat's undoing. Pass Obama/Pelosi Care and they can pretty much expect to be on the unemployment lines in 2010. 

For Obama, there is no escaping it; his coat tails are ka-put! No matter what his approval rating is, it does not translate to Democrat safety. Blue Dogs are as vulnerable as hell. Pundits will speak of Republican infighting, but the real story is that for the Democrats, it is every man for himself. They are no longer a majority; instead they are a bunch of people all trying to get reelected in 2010.

Lesson here: Time is up! Judgment Day is coming and it ain’t gonna be pretty!


Via: Memeorandum
Via: ABC News
Via: NY Post

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Two Down, One To Go


Come on Hoffman, we need the Trifecta!
Follow Hoffman's progress here.

One Down Two To Go


Virginia returns to its senses! Welcome new Governor Bob McDonnell
Follow NJ Election Results Christie vs. Corzine here
Follow NY-23 Election Results Hoffman vs. Owens here
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