Monday, October 26, 2009

CFG Poll: Hoffman Takes The Lead!

The Club For Growth has a new poll out that indicated that conservative Doug Hoffman is now in the lead.

The poll of 300 likely voters, conducted October 24-25, 2009, shows Conservative Doug Hoffman at 31.3%, Democrat Bill Owens at 27.0%, Republican Dede Scozzafava at 19.7%, and 22% undecided. The poll's margin of error is +/- 5.66%. No information was provided about any of the candidates prior to the ballot question. 
It should be noted that this isn’t the very best poll out there. The sample size is rather small and the margin of error is enormous.  Two more accurate polls are due out this week that may very well confirm Hoffman’s new lead and may give us an indication if Palin’s endorsement and Scozzafava’s screw ups played a role.

Should Hoffman now be in the lead, it will signify major trouble for the GOP who has been backing a ton of RINOs.  The conservative base is using it newfound activism to upset the old playbook of Quantity trumping Quality candidates. I would keep a close eye on Marco Rubio vs. Charlie Crist. That race is begging to be flipped.

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